Croydon

878 determined applications · 2023–2025

67%
Refusal rate
London's highest refusal rate for small sites
Verified
1,067
Applications analysed
Every small-site application (1–9 units) in the analysis window
Verified
Verified 67.2% refusal rate — the highest in London
590 of 878 decided applications refused. Croydon is the toughest borough for small-site approvals.
Verified Pre-app cuts refusal from 54% to 21%
Pre-application engagement is exceptionally powerful here, reducing refusal risk by more than half.
Verified 38.3% of approved schemes compressed
Over a third of approved schemes lose units. Factor compression into your acquisition model.

The full report

  • 40–55 page report (HTML & PDF) with evidence-graded findings
  • Density matrix by site type with P20–P75 ranges
  • PTAL-adjusted density lookup table
  • Viability model with cliff chart and sensitivity analysis
  • Area-level approval rate benchmarks
  • Refusal reason analysis with frequency data
  • Conservation area risk assessment

Decision tools

  • Before-you-bid checklist: site-level due diligence prompts
  • Before-you-submit checklist: application quality checks
  • Underlying data in Excel for your own analysis
  • Market Liquidity analysis (speed-of-sale data)

Methodology

  • Complete dataset, not a sample — every determined application
  • Four evidence tiers: Verified, Moderate, Indicative, Anecdotal
  • Statistical tests with sample sizes and significance levels

Borough Intelligence Reports from £1,500. Includes 12 months of free quarterly updates.

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Reports delivered via the members’ platform. Includes HTML & PDF report, Excel data, and Market Snapshot.

Want to see the data before you buy?

Download the free Market Snapshot. Key findings, one page, no commitment.